n = 109 of 112 sites. range 4.2–82%; Chagos Archipelago - Danger Island (BIDI16.5) (informal station, no transect) not counted
Water temp. during surveys (overview mean)
29.8°C
n = 108 of 112 sites; surveyed Mar 2015–May 2015; 107 of these are station CTD values, not dive readings
Coral Health Index (overview mean)
3.28 / 5
n = 8 of 112 sites; scale of zero to five, higher is healthier
Coral bleached (overview mean)
8.5%
n = 100 of 112 sites, published % bleached (Mayfield & Dempsey 2026); Chagos Archipelago - Danger Island (BIDI16.5) (informal station, no transect), Chagos Archipelago - Eagle Island (BIEA24.5) (informal station, no transect), Chagos Archipelago - Three Brothers lagoon (BITB34.5) (informal station, no transect) not counted
sea surface temperature (SST) (left axis)DHW under 2DHW 2–3DHW 3–5DHW 5–8DHW 8–10DHW over 10 (🔥 above 12)
Daily SST (line) and weekly maximum Degree Heating Weeks (bars), Jan 2023–Oct 2026, NOAA Coral Reef Watch 5-km Chagos Archipelago, UK virtual station. Dashed line: bleaching threshold (maximum monthly mean 29.0°C + 1°C). DHW ≥ 4: bleaching likely; ≥ 8: severe bleaching and mortality likely. A bar is drawn only where DHW exceeds zero, so a stretch with no bar is accumulated heat stress of zero, not missing data — the SST line runs the full period.
Long-term record: 3 years from 1985 through 2025 reached 8 or more °C-weeks at NOAA’s Chagos Archipelago, UK station. Download the annual DHW data (CSV).
112 sites in this region — click a marker to open that site.
Overview
Between 9 March and 3 May 2015, the Khaled bin Sultan Living Oceans Foundation's Global Reef Expedition surveyed 112 stations across the Chagos Archipelago: Egmont atoll, Danger Island, and Cauvin Bank; the western Great Chagos Bank, including the Three Brothers and Eagle Island; the northern Great Chagos Bank and Victory Bank; Salomon, Blenheim Reef, and Speakers Bank; and Peros Banhos. The Great Chagos Bank is a mostly submerged atoll of about 13,000 km², the largest atoll structure in the world (Spalding et al. 2001). The archipelago formed over the trace of the Réunion hotspot at the southern end of the Chagos–Laccadive Ridge, about 500 km from the Maldives. It holds some 220 scleractinian species, including Ctenella chagius, which may be found nowhere else, and its remote, largely uninhabited atolls lie inside the British Indian Ocean Territory marine protected area. Before 1998, coral typically covered 50–80% of seaward and lagoon slopes, and that year's bleaching is estimated to have removed 80–85% of it on seaward reefs.
The survey ran in two legs. From 9 to 28 March the team worked Egmont, Danger Island, Cauvin Bank, and the western Great Chagos Bank (59 stations). From 14 April to 3 May it worked the northern atolls and banks: Peros Banhos (20 stations), the Nelson Island lagoon and Victory Bank (8), and Salomon, Blenheim, and Speakers Bank (25). Most stations are sheltered lagoon, bank, and channel reefs, with forereefs on the outer rims of the atolls and off the Brothers. Logged maximum depths ran from 4.8 m at BIDI16.5 on Danger Island to 31.2 m at BIPB75 on Peros Banhos and BIVB99 on Victory Bank.
Hard coral cover averaged 39% across the 109 stations with a value, and 26 held 50% or more. Peros Banhos averaged 49% (n = 20) and Salomon, Blenheim, and Speakers Bank 46% (n = 25), with Speakers Bank alone at 52% (n = 7). Victory Bank and the northern Great Chagos Bank averaged 41% (n = 8), Egmont, Danger Island, and Cauvin Bank 37% (n = 8), and the western Great Chagos Bank 32% (n = 48). BIDI12, a seagrass meadow off Danger Island, had 4.2%, and Cauvin Bank (BICA01) had 4.6%. Recorded values included 82% at BISP96 on Speakers Bank, 77% at BIPB72, 71% at BISA98 (a single transect), and 67% at BITB58 on the Three Brothers. Most reefs are Acropora-led, with tiered tables and staghorn in the lagoons, while Porites leads on some forereefs, blue coral (Heliopora) dominates BIVB99, and algal cover ranged from 12% at BISP96 to 70% at BICC51.
The expedition coincided with the onset of the 2015 bleaching. A Coral Health Index was scored at only eight stations (mean 3.28/5). Published bleaching values averaged 8.5% across the 100 formal survey stations that have one (Mayfield and Dempsey 2026, S1), rising from 6.6% on the March leg (n = 52) to 10.6% in April and May (n = 48). By region, the western Great Chagos Bank averaged 6.7% (n = 45) and Egmont, Danger Island, and Cauvin Bank 6.2% (n = 7), against 10.7% at Peros Banhos (n = 19), 11.0% at Salomon, Blenheim, and Speakers Bank (n = 22), and 9.1% at Victory Bank and the northern Great Chagos Bank (n = 7). The three informal '.5' stations, surveyed from photographs only rather than transects, are reported separately: BIDI16.5 19.7%, BIEA24.5 27.8%, and BITB34.5 17.1%. Published values of 30% or more were recorded at BIPB112 on Peros Banhos (38%) and at BISA84 (34%) and BISA104 (31%) on forereefs outside Salomon atoll (leeward and side-on, respectively, by their GPS positions), and on the early-May repeat dives at BIPB72, BIPB69, and BIPB70 (37%, 36.5%, and 33%). Repeat dives at Peros Banhos tracked the event directly: BIPB69 rose from 0% on 16 April to 36.5% on 2 May, and BIPB72 from 10% to 37% in 13 days, with tabular Acropora worst affected. Several published values do not match the photographs, in both directions. Crown-of-thorns starfish were rare except for an active outbreak at BINI80, with at least eleven starfish in five frames; single animals were photographed at BIEG02, BIEA52, and BITB55. A clean white lesion of unresolved cause was photographed on one brain coral at BIDI10.
Two things stand out: the number of coral genera recorded and a reef system caught mid-bleaching. BIBL87 on Blenheim carries 37 coral genera, and the endemic Ctenella was recorded on the transects at 39 of the 109 stations, on Danger Island, Eagle Island, the Three Brothers, Central Chagos, Nelson Island, Peros Banhos, Victory Bank, Salomon, and Speakers Bank. An abandoned fishing net was photographed draped over live coral at BISA107, inside the no-take protected area. Sharks were seen throughout, including silvertip, gray reef, whitetip reef, and nurse sharks. Anderson saw and filmed a whale shark at BIPB112, and manta rays were recorded at BIPB66 and BIPB61; hawksbill turtles and spotted eagle rays were also seen.
Highlights
Repeat dives at Peros Banhos caught bleaching rising from 0% to 36.5% in about two weeks, with fields of white tables beside dark branching stands (BIPB69, BIPB72).
Published bleaching reached 38% at BIPB112, with meter-scale tables gone bone-white beside pigmented neighbors, and 34% and 31% on Salomon's forereefs (BISA84, BISA104).
An active crown-of-thorns outbreak on the northern Great Chagos Bank, at least eleven starfish in five frames (BINI80).
Overlapping Acropora tables in a multi-layered canopy on Speakers Bank, with 12% algal cover (BISP96).
67% cover on the Three Brothers, with one depth band 93% blue coral (Heliopora) and the next 80% Acropora (BITB58).
37 coral genera on the Blenheim forereef (BIBL87).
A single dive recorded the full bleaching sequence on tabular Acropora on Egmont, from healthy tissue to freshly dead skeleton (BIEG05).
Notable observations (14)
Chagos Archipelago - Great Chagos Bank North (BINI80): Crown-of-thorns: active outbreak, at least eleven sightings across five frames in one day, including about three animals on freshly exposed white table skeleton. No bleaching figure was published for this station.
Chagos Archipelago - Peros Banhos (BIPB69): Bleaching tracked over three dives: 0% on 16 April, 12.1% on 17 April, 36.5% on 2 May; fields of white tables beside dark branching stands. No crown-of-thorns or predation was seen and no disease was evident in the photographs, though Anderson's sampling sheet notes two colonies on the 2 May dive as possibly diseased.
Chagos Archipelago - Peros Banhos (BIPB72): Bleaching rose from 10% to 37% in 13 days; near-continuous field of white table corals; Pocillopora slopes paled rather than turning fully white.
Chagos Archipelago - Salomons Island (BISA84): Bleaching 34%; stark-white branching and plating colonies beside pigmented neighbors in five to six of the 10 frames, and all seven colonies Anderson sampled here were partly or fully bleached. No crown-of-thorns or disease signs in the frames.
Chagos Archipelago - Salomons Island (BISA107): Fishing gear: an abandoned fishing net photographed draped across live coral and pavement inside the British Indian Ocean Territory (BIOT) no-take marine protected area (MPA).
Chagos Archipelago - Egmont (BIEG02): Crown-of-thorns starfish unambiguously present, photographed alongside a stainless steel bone-rongeur laid beside it; two cushion stars. Bleaching 3.6% as a tight cluster of fully white Acropora.
Chagos Archipelago - Great Chagos Bank West (BIEA52): Crown-of-thorns starfish photographed beside stainless-steel bone-cutting forceps; one individual, no aggregation. Published bleaching 0%, yet one frame shows a small intact bone-white colony, and one of the two colonies Anderson sampled here was 10% bleached.
Chagos Archipelago - Great Chagos Bank West (BIDI10): Disease/lesion: a clean white lesion across a brain coral, which could be disease, predation scarring, or physical damage (unresolved); a pale tiered plating colony read as older mortality.
Chagos Archipelago - Great Chagos Bank West (BIDI14): Bleaching 9.8%: cream-white branch tips on Acropora and a small Pocillopora-type colony wholly cream-white; a meandroid brain coral with old partial mortality on its upper third, crusted by coralline and turf algae.
Chagos Archipelago - Peros Banhos (BIPB76): Bleaching 22%; bone-white tables and branching colonies in at least seven frames; extensive field of dead tables coated in turf and silt. No crown-of-thorns was seen and no diagnostic disease sign was resolved in the photographs, but Anderson's sampling sheet records two of the three colonies sampled here as bleached or diseased.
Chagos Archipelago - Speakers Bank (BISP115): No published bleaching figure; the photographs show bleached colonies in several frames, including a white table on a dead one, and three of the five pocilloporids Anderson sampled were 90-100% bleached, though the note for the dive judged the bleaching not severe in terms of percentage of colonies. No disease, predation, or crown-of-thorns was seen in the photographs.
Coral cover over time (pooled)
One point per year: the mean of every hard coral cover value available for this region that year — Anderson’s own dives and every independent survey station within 5 km of them. The vertical bar is the full range behind that mean. Different programs use different methods at different stations, so this is a regional summary, not a single comparable series. Records listed only for Three Brothers lagoon (BITB34.5) are also left out, because that pin is outside the regional mean. Years resting on fewer than three values are drawn as smaller points (2010, 2016, 2018, 2019, 2020). Non-CRD/LOF points are from XL Catlin Seaview Survey (University of Queensland), Sheppard et al. (2008), and Lange et al. (2021). Marker shape: Anderson’s own dives, other organizations’ surveys, a mix of both, that year, the year includes Global Reef Expedition dives made with the Khaled bin Sultan Living Oceans Foundation (CRD+LOF data).Sites in this region (112)
40 of these 72 values rest on 10–19 photographs (*)
CoralSCOP (SAM-based mask-sum), edited photos
33%
±7.6
87
43 of these 87 values rest on 10–19 photographs (*)
Claude (Anthropic), blind point count
27%
±10
87
43 of these 87 values rest on 10–19 photographs (*)
In-house DINOv3 point classifier
30%
±10
87
43 of these 87 values rest on 10–19 photographs (*)
In-water diver transect (line/point intercept)
39%
±16
101
—
The mean is an UNWEIGHTED mean of the dive site values — each dive site counts once, whatever its photo count — which is the convention of the published tables and of every other figure on this page. Each value is the one printed on that dive site's own page; a page that prints no value for a method (fewer than 10 photographs) is left out of that method's mean.
Closest to the reference
Over the dive sites where an independent reference exists, Manual point count (author) sits closest to it — a mean absolute deviation of 16.3 pp across 4 dive sites, then CoralNet automated point classifier 20.5 pp (n=4), Claude (Anthropic), blind point count 23.3 pp (n=4). Not in this ranking: Coralscapes v1, Coralscapes v2, and CoralSCOP (edited), which measure coral area rather than points; DINOv3, which counts points over a different denominator. A mean absolute deviation is not an accuracy score: a model with a consistent offset is correctable, while one with the same deviation scattered in both directions is not.
n under each value is the number of photographs that method scored at that dive site. ⚠ marks a cell that is not an independent check. * marks a value resting on only 10–19 photographs, which is less certain.
Reference: IN-WATER DIVER TRANSECT, independent of the imagery (Mayfield & Dempsey 2026, Oceans 7:1). Denominator: line/point intercept along the transect; not a photo-point denominator. Source: the mean of all of each station's transects (Living Oceans Foundation per-transect benthic data); the published station values, which weight each depth equally, are in Mayfield & Dempsey 2026, Oceans 7:1, suppl. S1 (formal 38.7% cover / 30.5% bleaching, tourist-diver 35.1% / 31.8%) ⚠ The reference here is NOT the same instrument as at Mauritius, Oman, Kenya, or the Red Sea. Those are point counts on the photographs; this is a diver swimming a transect. The models and the reference never saw the same thing. ⚠ SITE-LEVEL ONLY. The 2,500 frames were not associated with any transect taken within 200 m of them, so transect-vs-image comparisons are site means, never frames. The transect value is the mean of all of each station's own transects in the expedition's per-transect benthic data.
Nearby external survey stations
58 independent survey records within 5 km of a site in this region (each record counted once; 43 lines, and a line that pools several records says how many).
Show all 58 records
Lange et al. (2021) — Salomon Atoll (2006): 29% hard coral cover, 0.97 km from Chagos Archipelago - Salomons Island (BISA103)
Lange et al. (2021) — Salomon Atoll (2006): 48% hard coral cover, 0.48 km from Chagos Archipelago - Salomons Island (BISA98)
Lange et al. (2021) — Salomon Atoll (2010): 43% hard coral cover, 0.97 km from Chagos Archipelago - Salomons Island (BISA103)
Lange et al. (2021) — Salomon Atoll (2010): 63% hard coral cover, 0.48 km from Chagos Archipelago - Salomons Island (BISA98)
Lange et al. (2021) — Salomon Atoll (2016): 9.9% hard coral cover, 0.97 km from Chagos Archipelago - Salomons Island (BISA103)
Lange et al. (2021) — Salomon Atoll (2018): 6.8% hard coral cover, 0.48 km from Chagos Archipelago - Salomons Island (BISA98)
Lange et al. (2021) — Salomon Atoll (2019): 14% hard coral cover, 0.97 km from Chagos Archipelago - Salomons Island (BISA103)
Lange et al. (2021) — Salomon Atoll (2019): 23% hard coral cover, 0.48 km from Chagos Archipelago - Salomons Island (BISA98)
Lange et al. (2021) — Salomon Atoll (2020): 12% hard coral cover, 0.97 km from Chagos Archipelago - Salomons Island (BISA103)
Lange et al. (2021) — Salomon Atoll (2020): 21% hard coral cover, 0.48 km from Chagos Archipelago - Salomons Island (BISA98)
Sheppard et al. (2008) — Egmont (2006): 19% hard coral cover, 1.01 km from Chagos Archipelago - Egmont (BIEG05) (4 records)
Sheppard et al. (2008) — Great Chagos Bank (2006): 41% hard coral cover, 0.42 km from Chagos Archipelago - Great Chagos Bank West (BITB27) (5 records)
Sheppard et al. (2008) — Peros Banhos (2006): 44% hard coral cover, 2.60 km from Chagos Archipelago - Peros Banhos (BIPB60) (5 records)
Sheppard et al. (2008) — Salomon (2006): 32% hard coral cover, 1.27 km from Chagos Archipelago - Salomons Island (BISA88) (5 records)
XL Catlin Seaview Survey — transect 36001 (2015): 6.3% hard coral cover, 1.05 km from Chagos Archipelago - Great Chagos Bank West (BIDI14)
XL Catlin Seaview Survey — transect 36002 (2015): 25% hard coral cover, 0.26 km from Chagos Archipelago - Great Chagos Bank West (BIDI09)
XL Catlin Seaview Survey — transect 36003 (2015): 13% hard coral cover, 0.30 km from Chagos Archipelago - Great Chagos Bank West (BIEA24)
XL Catlin Seaview Survey — transect 36004 (2015): 21% hard coral cover, 0.26 km from Chagos Archipelago - Great Chagos Bank West (BITB40)
XL Catlin Seaview Survey — transect 36005 (2015): 20% hard coral cover, 1.50 km from Chagos Archipelago - Peros Banhos (BIPB64)
XL Catlin Seaview Survey — transect 36006 (2015): 27% hard coral cover, 3.25 km from Chagos Archipelago - Peros Banhos (BIPB62)
XL Catlin Seaview Survey — transect 36007 (2015): 29% hard coral cover, 3.34 km from Chagos Archipelago - Peros Banhos (BIPB65)
XL Catlin Seaview Survey — transect 36008 (2015): 21% hard coral cover, 3.00 km from Chagos Archipelago - Peros Banhos (BIPB71)
XL Catlin Seaview Survey — transect 36009 (2015): 21% hard coral cover, 2.03 km from Chagos Archipelago - Peros Banhos (BIPB71)
XL Catlin Seaview Survey — transect 36010 (2015): 26% hard coral cover, 1.38 km from Chagos Archipelago - Peros Banhos (BIPB71)
XL Catlin Seaview Survey — transect 36011 (2015): 21% hard coral cover, 0.16 km from Chagos Archipelago - Peros Banhos (BIPB76)
XL Catlin Seaview Survey — transect 36012 (2015): 26% hard coral cover, 1.88 km from Chagos Archipelago - Peros Banhos (BIPB75)
XL Catlin Seaview Survey — transect 36013 (2015): 28% hard coral cover, 0.82 km from Chagos Archipelago - Salomons Island (BISA84)
XL Catlin Seaview Survey — transect 36014 (2015): 34% hard coral cover, 1.14 km from Chagos Archipelago - Salomons Island (BISA93)
XL Catlin Seaview Survey — transect 36015 (2015): 28% hard coral cover, 0.66 km from Chagos Archipelago - Salomons Island (BISA94)
XL Catlin Seaview Survey — transect 36016 (2015): 19% hard coral cover, 0.66 km from Chagos Archipelago - Salomons Island (BISA93)
XL Catlin Seaview Survey — transect 36017 (2015): 22% hard coral cover, 0.43 km from Chagos Archipelago - Salomons Island (BISA102)
XL Catlin Seaview Survey — transect 36018 (2015): 22% hard coral cover, 1.25 km from Chagos Archipelago - Salomons Island (BISA98)
XL Catlin Seaview Survey — transect 36019 (2015): 29% hard coral cover, 0.42 km from Chagos Archipelago - Blenheim (BIBL82)
XL Catlin Seaview Survey — transect 36020 (2015): 17% hard coral cover, 0.90 km from Chagos Archipelago - Blenheim (BIBL83)
XL Catlin Seaview Survey — transect 36021 (2015): 21% hard coral cover, 2.93 km from Chagos Archipelago - Speakers Bank (BISP95)
XL Catlin Seaview Survey — transect 36022 (2015): 30% hard coral cover, 1.99 km from Chagos Archipelago - Speakers Bank (BISP95)
XL Catlin Seaview Survey — transect 36023 (2015): 20% hard coral cover, 4.71 km from Chagos Archipelago - Speakers Bank (BISP95)
XL Catlin Seaview Survey — transect 36024 (2015): 17% hard coral cover, 1.58 km from Chagos Archipelago - Great Chagos Bank North (BINI79)
XL Catlin Seaview Survey — transect 36025 (2015): 3.4% hard coral cover, 1.71 km from Chagos Archipelago - Great Chagos Bank North (BINI79)
XL Catlin Seaview Survey — transect 36026 (2015): 12% hard coral cover, 0.41 km from Chagos Archipelago - Great Chagos Bank North (BINI79)
XL Catlin Seaview Survey — transect 36027 (2015): 14% hard coral cover, 1.76 km from Chagos Archipelago - Great Chagos Bank North (BINI78)
XL Catlin Seaview Survey — transect 36028 (2015): 11% hard coral cover, 2.17 km from Chagos Archipelago - Egmont (BIEG03)
XL Catlin Seaview Survey — transect 36029 (2015): 28% hard coral cover, 1.94 km from Chagos Archipelago - Egmont (BIEG07)
Mayfield AB, Dempsey AC (2026). Using tourist diver images to estimate coral cover and bleaching prevalence in a remote Indian Ocean coral reef system. Oceans 7(1):1. PDF
Spalding MD, Ravilious C, Green EP (2001). World Atlas of Coral Reefs. University of California Press, Berkeley. PDF
Sheppard C, Harris A, Sheppard A (2008). Archipelago-wide coral recovery patterns since 1998 in the Chagos Archipelago, central Indian Ocean. Marine Ecology Progress Series 362:109-117. PDF
Lange ID, Benkwitt CE, McDevitt-Irwin JM, Tietjen KL, Taylor B, Chinkin M, et al. (2021). Wave exposure shapes reef community composition and recovery trajectories at a remote coral atoll. Coral Reefs 40:1819-1829. PDF