Coral Reef Diagnostics

Kenya - Lower Mpunguti-site 1 (Kisite National Park)

REEFolution Foundation
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05
Photo: Anderson Mayfield/Coral Reef Diagnostics
Country
Survey date(s)
2024-03-21
Coordinates
-4.6884, 39.4034
Coral cover
18%
Manual point count (36 photos) · other methods below
Coral bleached
80%
of hard coral tissue · Mayfield (2025), Environments 12:276
Observations
bleachingalgal overgrowth
Heat stress
Most recent heat load record
26 Oct 2026 · No heat stress
5-year thermal stress load
5-year mean max. degree heating weeks (DHW)
2021–2025
NOAA Coral Reef Watch — Kenya virtual station
i 5-year mean max. DHW is the mean of the annual maximum DHWs over the five complete years named above, not conditions today.
More infoKenya (NOAA CRW virtual station)
Photographs
36
20 shown on this page
Site summary
Read this summary in:

Lower Mpunguti-site 1 has a coral cover of 18% because coral here sits as isolated colonies embedded in a thick carpet of fleshy macroalgae rather than as a continuous framework. Branching and massive corals took the worst bleaching (80% of tissue overall), while golden-olive Turbinaria bowl corals were the clear survivors, holding full pigment throughout; three sea anemones with tentacles blanched snow-white above deep crimson columns were also documented here, alongside unbleached giant clams and a blue-spotted ribbontail ray.

Water temp. during survey
31.9°C
(estimated from the TG7 underwater camera, not validated (Mayfield 2025, Environments 12:276, Table 1))

24 independent survey stations shown with the program’s logo — click one to see how far it is from this site.

Six other CRD dive sites with their own pages within 5 km shown in orange — click a marker to open its page.

4 of the 20 photographs on this page are shown beside the text that discusses them under "Site description" below.

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Photo credit & attribution

Site description

General benthic features

The loudest signal in the set is algae, not bleaching, and the full run of frames makes the case strongly. Fleshy macroalgae — rust-red and olive foliose fronds, brown Sargassum- and Dictyota-like blades, and green Halimeda-type tufts — blanket the hardground in nearly every wide frame. In several frames the macroalgae are overgrowing coral colonies, overtopping a white branching colony and a meandroid colony. Anderson photographed it specifically in two frames: one is a reef mound almost wholly upholstered in weed with only two white coral heads showing through, and the other is a single bleached branching colony ringed and half-buried by canopy (e.g., Image 3, Image 4).

Coral here is not a framework; it is isolated colonies set into an algal carpet, which reads as the physical expression of the site's 18% cover.

Coral cover

Stressors

Bleaching is extensive but not uniform, and it sorts by growth form. Branching and corymbose Acropora are the worst hit: stark bone-white thickets in six frames (one a broad fine-branched stand gone entirely white, with a second white colony below it), with a few colonies tinged pale lilac-blue rather than pure white in two others. Massive and domed colonies are close behind: chalk-white domes with dark fissures in two frames, a bone-white knobby columnar colony standing proud of the reef with a crinoid at its base in another, and a cluster of white massives over sand in a fourth (e.g., Image 1).

Anderson's own named frames add two more: one is a pale cream Astreopora dome set in macroalgae, and the other is a white-to-pale-gray digitate finger Porites colony ringed by weed. One frame is a mauve-pink encrusting mass — the intermediate paling tone rather than full white — and another is a pale blue-gray meandroid brain coral with its valleys still sharply defined, emerging from a thicket of brown fronds. The last frame of the dive is a large smooth-lobed chalk-white mass on the sand, most consistent with a bleached leather soft coral (Sarcophyton-type); a pale sponge cannot be excluded from the frame alone. Against that, the foliose cup and plate corals are the clear survivors, and across the full set this is a repeated pattern rather than a single refugium. Turbinaria-type bowls appear fully pigmented golden-olive to tan in four frames, including a top-down stack of tiered bowls with fine concentric growth lines and a large healthy cabbage-form colony — and one of them shows a small pufferfish tucked down inside the bowl (e.g., Image 2).

Two frames are broad tan-brown foliose plates whose only whitening is a narrow band along the growing margin, which on these color-adjusted frames could as easily be the normal pale growth edge as a bleaching front. The one foliose colony that does look genuinely bleached is a large stacked whorl-form plate gone uniformly pale cream on an algal ridge. One frame places a bleached white Acropora directly against a large tan barrel sponge on the rubble. Typical recent thermal stress: mean annual maximum of 4.9 degree heating weeks (2021-2025, NOAA CRW; Kenya virtual station). Seawater here was an estimated 31.9°C during the survey (read from the TG7 underwater camera and not validated, per Mayfield 2025, Environments 12:276, Table 1; the Kenya survey-wide mean of 32.0°C matched the 1998 event), and NOAA recorded a peak of 13.5 degree-heating weeks on 18 April 2024, the highest for Kenya since records began in 1985. For the 2024 Kenya survey as a whole, Mayfield (2025, Environments 12:276) estimated that in situ temperatures ran about 1.3°C above NOAA's, so that "nearly 22 DHWs may actually have transpired"; those in situ readings came from the TG7 underwater camera and have not been validated. No crown-of-thorns starfish (COTS) or other corallivores were evident.

Fish and other fauna

One cluster, which Anderson recorded as a bleached anemone, is three magnificent sea anemones with tentacles blanched snow-white above deep crimson-magenta columns, packed together on the rock. Elsewhere a blue-spotted ribbontail ray sits under a ledge on clean sand beside pale coral heads. Two giant clams (Tridacna) sit side by side with fluted mantles still patterned brown-gold and olive, no whitening, among crinoids and orange encrusting sponge. A red-and-white striped squirrelfish rests against a bone-white dome, and an orange encrusting sponge is worked over by small damselfish. A pale mauve-white sea cucumber lies on the sand, and a sand channel runs beneath an algal-crusted overhang with almost no coral in it.

Comparisons with other data

REEFolution Foundation surveyed a station named Lower Mpunguti, 0.69 km away. Within 5 km, 24 independent stations recorded hard coral cover between 2008 and 2024: nine by benthic survey, station-year means of 0.0–66%, and fifteen by MERMAID bleaching-protocol quadrats, station-year means of 18–56%; the nearest, REEFolution Foundation at Lower Mpunguti, 0.69 km away, read 0.0–8.0% between 2017 and 2019.

Dive record

Dived 21 Mar 2024 off Lower Mpunguti in Kisite Marine National Park, during the 2024 Western Indian Ocean mass bleaching event. EXIF on the 34 reviewed frames (of 36 on file) dates every one to 21 March 2024 and brackets the photographic run between 13:20:04 and 13:35:14, a tight fifteen-minute sequence, essentially contiguous in camera numbering. Surveys were run with REEFolution.

CV model comparison

Computer-vision estimates from this site's own photographs are listed in the comparison table below, alongside the headline rather than merged into it.
Headline is the reference value; every other row is listed beside it for comparison and none is averaged in. ⚠ The methods did not all read the same photographs: the published manual value covers the site's 36 photographs; CoralNet and the in-house DINOv3 classifier ran on all 36 unedited photographs, Claude (blind) on 1 of them, and CoralSCOP on 27.
More infoRecomputed on only the 1 frame Claude scored, the manual count is 20%; that like-for-like figure, not the published value, is the fair comparison for Claude. ⚠ Claude's value counts all 30 points in the denominator, while the published manual value, CoralNet, and DINOv3 exclude water and fish points (the Mayfield 2025 convention), so Claude reads somewhat low on that basis alone. CoralSCOP (SAM-based mask-sum), edited photos: n/a — CoralSCOP was run only on the unedited Kenya photographs.
MethodHard coral cover (%)Photos (n) ± SE
Manual (published)18.1
CoralNet17.1n = 36
In-house DINOv337.3n = 36
CoralSCOP unedited20.5n = 27
Claudetoo few photos (n=1)

The three computer-vision methods disagree by 20.2 pp (17.1–37.3%) and read on both sides of the manual point count (18.1%); the headline is the manual point count because a person's point count of the site's photographs is the reference the models are measured against.

Claude: this method was run on 1 of 36 photos, under the 10 needed for a value, so it is not shown and is left out of any mean; every other row rests on its own photo count.

Independent surveys nearby

Data availability near this site
Agency / programYear(s)Stations / distanceLink
REEFolution Foundation2017–20238 stations, 0.69–4.94 kmRecords ↓
submitted to MERMAID by Kosgei J, Musembi P.* (MERMAID bleaching-protocol quadrats)20241 station, 3.49 kmRecords ↓
WCS Kenya / WCS Tanzania via MERMAID20201 station, 2.09 kmRecords ↓
WCS Kenya via MERMAID (MERMAID bleaching-protocol quadrats)2008–201914 stations, 1.45–4.94 kmRecords ↓
Hard coral cover over time — this site and every independent station within 5 km. Programs are shown separately because they use different methods at different stations; the lines are not one comparable series.
0%17%34%51%68%200820162024WCS Kenya via MERMAID (MERMAID bleaching-protocol quadrats) 2008: 37%WCS Kenya via MERMAID (MERMAID bleaching-protocol quadrats) 2009: 46%WCS Kenya via MERMAID (MERMAID bleaching-protocol quadrats) 2010: 56%WCS Kenya via MERMAID (MERMAID bleaching-protocol quadrats) 2011: 25%WCS Kenya via MERMAID (MERMAID bleaching-protocol quadrats) 2011: 25%WCS Kenya via MERMAID (MERMAID bleaching-protocol quadrats) 2012: 44%WCS Kenya via MERMAID (MERMAID bleaching-protocol quadrats) 2012: 44%WCS Kenya via MERMAID (MERMAID bleaching-protocol quadrats) 2013: 42%WCS Kenya via MERMAID (MERMAID bleaching-protocol quadrats) 2014: 25%WCS Kenya via MERMAID (MERMAID bleaching-protocol quadrats) 2015: 18%WCS Kenya via MERMAID (MERMAID bleaching-protocol quadrats) 2015: 20%WCS Kenya via MERMAID (MERMAID bleaching-protocol quadrats) 2015: 48%WCS Kenya via MERMAID (MERMAID bleaching-protocol quadrats) 2015: 52%WCS Kenya via MERMAID (MERMAID bleaching-protocol quadrats) 2016: 32%WCS Kenya via MERMAID (MERMAID bleaching-protocol quadrats) 2016: 47%WCS Kenya via MERMAID (MERMAID bleaching-protocol quadrats) 2016: 50%WCS Kenya via MERMAID (MERMAID bleaching-protocol quadrats) 2019: 24%WCS Kenya via MERMAID (MERMAID bleaching-protocol quadrats) 2019: 33%REEFolution Foundation 2017: 2.4%REEFolution Foundation 2017: 20%REEFolution Foundation 2017: 29%REEFolution Foundation 2017: 39%REEFolution Foundation 2017: 39%REEFolution Foundation 2018: 8.0%REEFolution Foundation 2018: 28%REEFolution Foundation 2018: 31%REEFolution Foundation 2018: 37%REEFolution Foundation 2018: 39%REEFolution Foundation 2018: 48%REEFolution Foundation 2018: 49%REEFolution Foundation 2018: 53%REEFolution Foundation 2019: 0.0%REEFolution Foundation 2019: 21%REEFolution Foundation 2019: 27%REEFolution Foundation 2019: 34%REEFolution Foundation 2019: 40%REEFolution Foundation 2019: 41%REEFolution Foundation 2019: 50%REEFolution Foundation 2020: 18%REEFolution Foundation 2020: 25%REEFolution Foundation 2021: 66%REEFolution Foundation 2022: 23%REEFolution Foundation 2022: 56%REEFolution Foundation 2023: 4.9%REEFolution Foundation 2023: 23%REEFolution Foundation 2023: 29%WCS Kenya / WCS Tanzania via MERMAID 2020: 29%submitted to MERMAID by Kosgei J, Musembi P.* (MERMAID bleaching-protocol quadrats) 2024: 36%Coral Reef Diagnostics 2024: 18%Year-averaged across all programs: illustrative only; the programs differ in stations and method, so no trend is claimed (8 years)
WCS Kenya via MERMAID (MERMAID bleaching-protocol quadrats) REEFolution Foundation WCS Kenya / WCS Tanzania via MERMAID submitted to MERMAID by Kosgei J, Musembi P.* (MERMAID bleaching-protocol quadrats) Coral Reef DiagnosticsYear-average (illustrative only, programs differ; quadrats left out)

Within 5 km, 24 independent survey stations recorded hard coral cover in 148 surveys between 2008 and 2024. Of the 8 stations with benthic surveys in more than one year, 4 declined (by 2.4–23 points) and 4 increased (by 1.0–27 points) between their first and latest surveys. Three stations share the longest span (2018–2023); one, Kikuyu House (REEFolution Foundation, 3.63 km away), went from 31% in 2018 (mean of 9 surveys) to 23% in 2023 (mean of 2 surveys). With MERMAID bleaching-protocol quadrats, of the 3 stations surveyed in more than one year, 3 increased (by 3.0–9.0 points) between their first and latest surveys. Since 2021, station-year means excluding quadrats average 34% (range 4.9–66%; n = 6 station-years from 14 surveys). Quadrats since 2021 read 36% (n = 1 station-year). This site's own estimate (18%) sits 10.0 points above the range of these station-year means up to 2 km away excluding quadrats (0.0–8.0%); the methods differ, so the comparison is context, not a like-for-like test. Quadrats up to 2 km away read 32%.

Collected by other programs using different methods (MERMAID is a data platform: each MERMAID row names the organization that did the survey, and its method is in the row's hover text. *Conducted by citizen scientists), so these are context for the figures above, not a like-for-like comparison. Where a station was surveyed more than once, the cell shows either the range of its values or, as a single value, the mean of surveys made in one year. Station names are not dive-site names.

Show all 148 independent surveys
Independent survey data near this site
AgencySite / locationDateHard coral cover (%)DistanceLink
WCS Kenya via MERMAID (MERMAID bleaching-protocol quadrats)Kisite2008–200937–46% (2 surveys)4.46 kmDarling E. 2018. Kenya CRCP legacy. MERMAID
WCS Kenya via MERMAID (MERMAID bleaching-protocol quadrats)Kisite South of Site 1201056%4.32 kmDarling E. 2018. Kenya CRCP legacy. MERMAID
WCS Kenya via MERMAID (MERMAID bleaching-protocol quadrats)Waga201125%4.45 kmDarling E. 2018. Kenya CRCP legacy. MERMAID
WCS Kenya via MERMAID (MERMAID bleaching-protocol quadrats)Waga 2201125%4.45 kmDarling E. 2018. Kenya CRCP legacy. MERMAID
WCS Kenya via MERMAID (MERMAID bleaching-protocol quadrats)Kisite 12012–201644–48% (3 surveys)4.46 kmDarling E. 2018. Kenya CRCP legacy. MERMAID
WCS Kenya via MERMAID (MERMAID bleaching-protocol quadrats)Kisite 22012–201544–52% (2 surveys)4.94 kmDarling E. 2018. Kenya CRCP legacy. MERMAID
WCS Kenya via MERMAID (MERMAID bleaching-protocol quadrats)Kisite Edge 1201342%4.14 kmDarling E. 2018. Kenya CRCP legacy. MERMAID
WCS Kenya via MERMAID (MERMAID bleaching-protocol quadrats)Jiwe la kale East201425%3.43 kmDarling E. 2018. Kenya CRCP legacy. MERMAID
WCS Kenya via MERMAID (MERMAID bleaching-protocol quadrats)Mji wa Kale 2 (Mkwiro)201520%3.52 kmDarling E. 2018. Kenya CRCP legacy. MERMAID
WCS Kenya via MERMAID (MERMAID bleaching-protocol quadrats)Mji wa Kale 1 (Mkwiro)201518%3.72 kmDarling E. 2018. Kenya CRCP legacy. MERMAID
WCS Kenya via MERMAID (MERMAID bleaching-protocol quadrats)Mpunguti201632%1.45 kmDarling E. 2018. Kenya CRCP legacy. MERMAID
WCS Kenya via MERMAID (MERMAID bleaching-protocol quadrats)Kisite corner201650%4.14 kmDarling E. 2018. Kenya CRCP legacy. MERMAID
REEFolution FoundationLower Mpunguti2017–20190.0–8.0% (range of yearly means; 15 surveys)0.69 km2023. REEFolution Kenya. MERMAID
REEFolution FoundationDolphin Point2017–201920–41% (range of yearly means; 14 surveys)2.36 km2023. REEFolution Kenya. MERMAID
REEFolution FoundationOuter Kisite2017–201939–53% (range of yearly means; 13 surveys)4.01 km2023. REEFolution Kenya. MERMAID
REEFolution FoundationHouse Reef Firefly2017–202139–66% (range of yearly means; 21 surveys)4.50 km2023. REEFolution Kenya. MERMAID
REEFolution FoundationKisite 22017–201829–48% (range of yearly means; 3 surveys)4.94 km2023. REEFolution Kenya. MERMAID
REEFolution FoundationMkwiro CMA2018–202329–37% (range of yearly means; 7 surveys)3.52 km2023. REEFolution Kenya. MERMAID
REEFolution FoundationKikuyu House2018–202323–31% (range of yearly means; 24 surveys)3.63 km2023. REEFolution Kenya. MERMAID
REEFolution FoundationPilli Pipa Restaurant2018–20234.9–56% (range of yearly means; 31 surveys)4.21 km2023. REEFolution Kenya. MERMAID
WCS Kenya via MERMAID (MERMAID bleaching-protocol quadrats)Mji wa Kale 2 (Mkwiro)201924%3.52 kmDarling E, Kosgei J, McClanahan T, Muthiga N. 2019. Kenya MACMON 2016-17. MERMAID
WCS Kenya via MERMAID (MERMAID bleaching-protocol quadrats)Mji wa Kale 1 (Mkwiro)201933%3.72 kmDarling E, Kosgei J, McClanahan T, Muthiga N. 2019. Kenya MACMON 2016-17. MERMAID
WCS Kenya / WCS Tanzania via MERMAIDMkwiro202029%2.09 kmDarling E, Mensa J, O'Leary J, Schwarz A. 2020. BAF 1 - 2020. MERMAID
submitted to MERMAID by Kosgei J, Musembi P.* (MERMAID bleaching-protocol quadrats)Mji wa Kale 1 (Mkwiro)202436%3.49 kmKosgei J, Musembi P. 2024. KenyaBleachingSurveys_2024. MERMAID

Data & links

All images from Coral Reef Diagnostics. Data are from Coral Reef Diagnostics and the organizations named in the data sources above.

© Coral Reef Diagnostics.